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Morning Bell 15 June

Sophia Mavridis
June 15, 2022

Yesterday was the worst trading session since May 2020, as we saw heavy losses that haven’t been since around the beginning of the pandemic. Billions were wiped from the market yesterday, with the ASX200 falling 5.3% in the first 20 minutes of the session, then very slightly recovering some of those losses. The market still closed 3.6% lower at 6,686 points. The reason behind this was the heavy selling we’ve seen in US markets over its last two trading sessions. And this was the first time the Australian market was able to respond, since our local market was closed on Monday for the Queen’s Birthday public holiday. The reason US markets have tumbled is because its inflation reading came in higher than expected. Now, on Thursday the Fed will announce its interest rate decision and these inflation numbers have increased the chances of the Fed raising rates more aggressively.

As the Australian market caught up to the US yesterday, all 11 sectors saw heavy losses. The sectors that declined the most were energy, tech, materials and financials. The major banks also continued to fall. Yesterday CBA was down 2.8%, Westpac down 3.7%, NAB down 4.4% and ANZ is down 4.6%.

The worst performing stocks were tech giants Block (ASX:SQ2) and Zip (ASX:ZIP), which we know are sensitive to interest rates. And some of the major mining stocks were also being sold, including Chalice Mining (ASX:CHC), Paladin (ASX:PDN), Champion Iron (ASX:CIA) , Nickel Industries (ASX:NIC) and Fortescue Metals (ASX:FMG). There were only a handful of stocks that managed to gain yesterday. The best performer was PolyNovo (ASX:PNV), followed by Domino’s Pizza (ASX:DMP).

The most traded stocks by Bell Direct clients yesterday were Lake Resources (ASX:LKE), ANZ, Westpac (ASX:WBC) and CSL.

Overnight, US equities saw little change, as investors await the Federal Reserve’s meeting on Thursday. The Dow is down 0.5%, the S&P500 is down 0.4% while the Nasdaq ended slightly higher, up 0.2%.

What to watch today:

  • Selling is set to continue today, with the SPI futures suggesting a 0.6% fall at the open this morning.
  • In economic data, Westpac’s consumer confidence data for June will be out today at 10:30am AEST. This data is important because it will provide insights into how consumers have responded to the RBA’s rate hike last week.
  • In commodities, oil is lower after signals that the US government may be considering legislation to ease the price pressures. Gold remains under pressure from a rallying US dollar and Treasury yields, as investors anticipate aggressive monetary policy tightening. And iron ore has fallen to an over two-week low.
  • Keep watch of ANZ, as the bank may be planning on acquiring accounting software MYOB, from private equity group KKR.

Trading Ideas:

  • Bell Potter maintain their BUY rating on Cobram Estate Olives (ASX:CBO) and have lowered their price target from $2.35 to $2.20. At its current share price of $1.56, this implies 40.6% share price growth in a year.
  • Trading Central have identified a bearish signal in Inghams Group (ASX:ING), indicating that the stock price may fall from the close of $2.67 to the range of $2.45 to $2.53 over 25 days, according to the standard principles of technical analysis.

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