{"id":4724,"date":"2020-06-26T09:43:54","date_gmt":"2020-06-25T23:43:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bdirectprod.wpenginepowered.com\/?post_type=video&#038;p=4724"},"modified":"2020-06-26T10:17:17","modified_gmt":"2020-06-26T00:17:17","slug":"morning-26-june","status":"publish","type":"video","link":"https:\/\/belldirect.com.au\/insights\/videos\/morning-26-june","title":{"rendered":"Morning 26 June"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Aussie futures are eyeing a 1.2% charge at the open, but local end of financial year selling and the U.S. Fed\u2019s big announcement will keep gains in check, with the U.S. futures already suggesting a hesitant\u00a0open on Friday.<\/p>\n<p>The U.S. Fed made a huge announcement that\u00a0big banks will have to suspend share buybacks and cap dividend payments at their current level for the quarter. Dividends will only be allowed\u00a0to\u00a0be paid based on a formula of the bank\u2019s recent earnings,\u00a0as the Fed forecasts loan losses of $700 billion with unemployment hitting 19.5%, significantly pressuring banks.<\/p>\n<p>Today investors will be watching the big banks as they are expected to see pressure following the Fed&#8217;s announcement of rising debt levels. However, keep in mind many of our banks like CBA (ASX:<a href=\"\/?s=CBA\">CBA<\/a>) have steady underlying income and balance sheets in good shape.<\/p>\n<p>Local trading ideas:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Following Dr Martens, Vans, Athlete\u2019s foot and shoe business, Accent Group (ASX:AX1) reporting FY20 earnings up 10%\u00a0compared to\u00a0the same time last year following tight costs, focus on online sales and government support, Bell Potter increased its price target to $1.80.<\/li>\n<li>Citi increased its Newcrest\u00a0Mining\u00a0(ASX:<a href=\"\/?s=NCM\">NCM<\/a>)\u00a0valuation as production at the\u00a0WA Havieron\u00a0mine has been maintained.\u00a0Newcrest\u00a0has remained a Citi buy.<\/li>\n<li>Macquarie (ASX:<a href=\"\/?s=MQG\">MQG<\/a>) was declared Bell Potter\u2019s top pick for FY21, giving it has strong underlying earnings, keeping in mind\u00a0if COVID-19 didn\u2019t occur, it\u2019s profit would have been gained 4%, instead of fallen 8%.\u00a0Bell Potter targets\u00a0that\u00a0Macquarie will grow to $135.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<a href=\"#\" class=\"transcript-toggle\">Read Transcript <i class=\"fa fa-angle-right\"><\/i><\/a><div class=\"transcript\">\n<p>Good morning good morning, so nice i&#8217;ll say it twice.<\/p>\n<p>Well U.S. equities had a session of two halves dragging low on weaker than expected unemployment numbers, not so good, but then alley-oop-ed in late trade on regulation being wound back for the big banks, allowing banks to potentially free up capital.<\/p>\n<p>The S&amp;P500 rebounded 1.1% and the Nasdaq scored 108 points also 1.1%, but not enough though to recover from the prior day&#8217;s losses.<\/p>\n<p>After the close of trade, the U.S. Federal Reserve made a big announcement saying that big banks would have to suspend share buybacks and cap dividend payments at their current levels for the quarter.<\/p>\n<p>Now dividends will only be allowed to be paid based on a formula of the bank&#8217;s recent earnings.<\/p>\n<p>Why?<\/p>\n<p>While the Federal Reserve has forecast line losses in the U.S. to amount to $700 billion given unemployment has hit 19.5%, significantly putting pressure on banks.<\/p>\n<p>On the commodity front it was good news though, the oil price scaled 2% high to $39.07, gold shone 0.25% higher back to seven and a half year high to \u00a0$1,707 USD, copper coiled up almost 1% and the iron ore put its foot on the gas as well at 0.3% on our price now at $103 USD.<\/p>\n<p>Now what to watch today, well the Aussie futures are suggesting a 1.2% charge at the open, but local end of financial year selling is likely to keep us in check, particularly the U.S. Federal Reserve&#8217;s big announcement as well which will keep gains in order, particularly given U.S. futures are suggesting a hesitant open on Friday.<\/p>\n<p>Now this is something that we closely look at based on how our session is likely to perform.<\/p>\n<p>Also keep an eye out on big banks today which are running at an end of financial gear loss and expected to see mounting pressure following the Federal Reserve&#8217;s announcement about rising debt levels, but keep in mind CBA (ASX:<a href=\"\/?s=CBA\">CBA<\/a>) in particular out of the big four banks has been steadily growing their underlying income and its balance sheet remains in good shape.<\/p>\n<p>Now to some local trading ideas, well following Dr Martin&#8217;s, Vans, Athlete&#8217;s Foot and Sketches shoe business, Accent Group (ASX:AX1) reporting FY20 earnings 10% up on the same time last year following tight cost controls, a focus on online sales and government support, Bell Potter has increased its price target for accent to $1.80.<\/p>\n<p>Secondly Citi increased Newcrest Mining (ASX:<a href=\"\/?s=NCM\">NCM<\/a>) valuation in WA following the mine maintaining production levels which were better than expected.<\/p>\n<p>Now Newcrest Mining was maintained as a Citi buy.<\/p>\n<p>And thirdly, Macquarie (ASX:<a href=\"\/?s=MQG\">MQG<\/a>) was declared Bell Potter&#8217;s top pick for FY21 in the banking sector given it&#8217;s got strong underlying earnings, keep in mind if COVID-19 didn&#8217;t occur, it&#8217;s profit or Macquarie&#8217;s profit would have gained 4% instead of falling 8%.<\/p>\n<p>The financial powerhouse has $25 billion in equity yet to be deployed in infrastructure and other assets, Bell Potter targets Macquarie to grow to $135.<\/p>\n<p>I&#8217;m Jessica Amir with Bell Direct, happy trading and stay safe.<\/p>\n<a href=\"#\" class=\"transcript-close\">Close Transcript<\/a><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Aussie futures are eyeing a 1.2% charge at the open, but local end of financial year selling and the U.S. Fed\u2019s big announcement will keep gains in check, 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