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Morning Bell 3 July

Bell Direct
July 3, 2025

Wall Street closed mostly higher on Wednesday after President Trump announced a U.S.-Vietnam trade deal has been reached to the effect of 20% tariffs on goods imported from Vietnam into the U.S. Investors welcomed the news despite fresh economic data also out yesterday showing private payrolls in the U.S. surprisingly declined in June. The S&P500 ended the day up 0.47% to a fresh record high of 6227.42 points while the Dow Jones fell just 0.02% and the tech-heavy Nasdaq ended the day up 0.94%.
In Europe on Wednesday, markets in the region closed mostly higher despite volatility in the UK. The STOXX 600 rose 0.2%, Germany’s DAX added 0.5%, the French CAC climbed 1% and, in the UK, the FTSE100 ended the day down 0.1%.

Across the Asia region on Wednesday, markets closed mixed as investors assessed US Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s latest comments around further rate cuts would have already happened if it weren’t for President Trump’s tariff initiatives. China’s CSI index closed flat, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng rose 0.73%, Japan’s Nikkei slipped 0.5% and South Korea’s Kospi Index ended the day down 0.47%.

The local market reset its record yesterday with the key index ending the day up 0.66% with 10 of the 11 sectors ending the day higher led by materials stocks rallying 1.83%.

Retail sales data out yesterday locally for May came in at a rise of 0.2% MoM which fell short of the 0.4% rise markets were expecting, signalling consumer discretionary spend remains subdued due to higher cost-of-living pressures and overall uncertainty. Much to the listed retailer relief though, retail spend in May was boosted by a bounce-back in clothing purchases, albeit at a time when a large number of retailers held higher promotional activity to reduce inventory levels. Other than clothing spend rebounding, retail spending was otherwise restrained this month, with a drop in food-related spending and flat results across household goods.

Qantas (ASX:QAN) shares tumbled 2.2% after the flying kangaroo confirmed it has been hit by a cyber attack affecting the personal data of more than 6 million customers.

Lenders Mortgage Insurance provider Helia Group (ASX:HLI) sank over 20% yesterday on news that another major long-term partner in ING Bank was negotiating a deal with alternative providers. The move comes just months after CBA pulled the pin on its LMI deal with Helia.

Domino’s Pizza (ASX:DMP) shares also fell almost 16% after the company’s CEO Mark van Dyck announced he will step down from the role after just 12 months at the helm.

What to watch today:

  • On the commodities front this morning oil is trading 3.2% higher at US$67.54/barrel, gold is up 0.57% at US$3357.35/ounce and iron ore is up 1.84% at US$95.13/tonne.
  • The Aussie dollar has strengthened against the greenback to buy 65.86 US cents, 94.59 Japanese yen, 48.28 British pence and 1 New Zealand dollar and 8 cents.
  • Ahead of Thursday’s trading session the SPI futures are anticipating the ASX will open the day down 0.21%.

Trading Ideas:

  • Bell Potter has decreased the 12-month price target on Santana Minerals (ASX:SMI) from $1.30 to $1.18 and maintain a speculative buy rating on the gold miner following the release of the company’s updated Pre-Feasibility Study for its 100% owned Bendigo-Ophir Gold Project in New Zealand. It is well placed to complete its Fast Track application, commence early site works in 2HCY25, make a Final Investment Decision in early CY26 and commence construction in 1HCY26. It remains one of the nearest term, new gold development projects on the ASX and is why the analyst has maintained a spec buy rating on the company.

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