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Morning Bell 16 February

Bell Direct
February 16, 2026

US equities closed mixed on Friday following the release of the inflation report which came in just slightly lower than the market was expecting. US CPI rose 0.2% in January, reflecting a gain of 2.4% on an annualised basis, while a 0.3% MoM gain was expected.

The S&P500 rose just above the flat light, up 0.05%, the Dow Jones flat, just 0.1% higher, while the Nasdaq declined 0.22%.

What to watch today:

Locally, the ASX200 is set to gain 0.58% at the open this morning, ahead of the release of key earnings results from big names reporting today:

  • JB Hi Fi (ASX:JBH) has just released their half year results this morning, with total sales and NPAT both up more than 7%, EPS increased by 19cps to 279.7cps from HY25 and an interim dividend of 210cps, up 23.5%, representing 75% of NPAT. Bell Potter currently have a Buy rating on JBH.
  • The a2 Milk Company (ASX:A2M) posted a 18.8% rise in revenue and lifted FY26 guidance, as well as an interim dividend of 11.5cps fully franked. It’s share price will be on watch today.
  • Ansell (ASX:ANN), Aurizon Holdings (ASX:AZJ), BlueScope Steel (ASX:BSL) and New Hope Corporation (ASX:NHC) are also set to report today.

As for what Bell Potter are looking at today: 

  • Following Nick Scali (ASX:NCK)‘s first half NPAT up 11% above expectations, Bell Potter maintain a Buy rating, however have lowered their price target by 11% to $25.00 due to softer growth into the second half, earnings revisions and the rising interest rate environment.
  • And one to watch in the resources sector following the release of first half earnings is Northern Star Resources (ASX:NST). Bell Potter maintain a Buy rating and have increased their 12-month price target from $31.10 to $35.00. At the current share price of $28.37 this implies 23.4% share price growth in a year.

 In commodities: 

  • Crude oil is up to US$62.89 per barrel, with a second straight weekly decline, amid persistent oversupply concerns. The International Energy Agency reiterated that the market is likely to face a surplus of just over 3.7 million barrels per day in 2026.
  • The price of gold is up almost 2.5% to US$5,043.92 per tonne, as softer-than-expected US inflation eased pressure on Treasury yields and weighed on the dollar.
  • Iron ore is down to US$99.66 and over the past month, Iron Ore’s price has fallen 7.45%. So keep watch of iron ore miners this week as BHP Group (ASX:BHP) reports tomorrow.
  • To end, AUD$1.00 is currently buying US$0.70.

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