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Morning Bell 16 July

Bell Direct
July 16, 2025

Wall St closed mixed amid concerns over inflation after the latest data out for June overnight revealed US inflation increased from May with CPI rising 0.3% MoM to an annual rate of 2.7% while core inflation rose 0.2% MoM or 2.9% on an annual basis. The Dow Jones fell 0.98%, the Nasdaq gained 0.18% and the S&P500 ended the day down 0.4%.

In Europe overnight markets closed lower for a third straight session amid caution over a trade deal yet to be done with the US ahead of the tariff introduction date on August 1. The STOXX 600 fell 0.37%, Germany’s DAX lost 0.42%, the French CAC fell 0.54% and, over in the UK, the FTSE100 ended the day down 0.66%.

Locally to start the new trading week the ASX200 closed lower on Monday before a strong rebound on Tuesday where the key index gained 0.7% to reset its record high at the closing bell. A broad tech rally was the key driver of the market’s surge yesterday while investors also shrugged off the latest US Trump tariff threats.

Westpac consumer confidence data for July came out yesterday showing consumer confidence jumped 0.6% in July to 93.1 points despite the RBA rate hold as investors still expect a number of rate cuts this year.

What to watch today:

  • Ahead of Wednesday’s trading session the SPI futures are anticipating the ASX will open the day down 0.73%.
  • On the commodities front this morning, oil is trading 0.54% lower at 66 US dollars and 16 cents a barrel, gold is down 0.35% at 3331 US dollars an ounce and iron ore is up 0.05% at 96.76 US dollars a tonne.

Trading Ideas:

  • Bell Potter has downgraded Technology One (ASX:TNE) from a hold to a sell and have slightly raised the 12-month price target on the company to $35.75 following recent share price appreciation. The sell rating is not due to a negative catalyst, but the market already expecting the company to beat expectations, so we don’t see a positive catalyst as there is not much upside risk to our and the market’s FY25 forecast.
  • Trading Central has identified a bullish signal on SRG Global (ASX:SRG) following the formation of a pattern over a period of 14-days which is roughly the same amount of time the share price may rise from the close of $1.69 to the range of $1.87 to $1.91 according to standard principles of technical analysis.

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